HORIZON SYNC // 2026Active horizon auto-selected from the timeline scrubber. Click a tab to override.
HORIZON SCRUBBER
Agent maturation, real but uneven
CONF.
70
▲ EVIDENCE
Gartner: 40% of enterprise apps embed task-agents by EOY '26
▼ COUNTER-EVIDENCE
S&P: 31% in prod, 88% pilots fail; Gartner: >40% projects cancelled by '27
On-device AI inflection
CONF.
78
▲ EVIDENCE
iOS 27 'Extensions' lets users pick model; ~60% new PCs NPU-equipped
▼ COUNTER-EVIDENCE
Privacy & UX still inconsistent across vendors
Reasoning models do NOT commoditise on price
CONF.
65
▲ EVIDENCE
GPT-5.5 doubled to $5/$30; Opus 4.7 holds. 'Structured financial product.'
▼ COUNTER-EVIDENCE
DeepSeek V4 matches at 10–13× lower
Voice becomes primary interface
CONF.
80
▲ EVIDENCE
55% consumers; voice AI $22.5B '26; ~25% of YC W26 voice-first
▼ COUNTER-EVIDENCE
Only 29% of cos. deployed voice — deployment gap
Memory & personalisation as moat
CONF.
60
▲ EVIDENCE
Mem0 canonical 'memory as product'; benchmark suite emerging
▼ COUNTER-EVIDENCE
Privacy & portability concerns