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07AGENT LAYER
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UTC 2026-05-12 03:21:19Z
SYNC OK
HORIZON2026

ADOPTION FUNNEL // %

Piloting78%
PILOTING
↓ DROP 42%
Scoped to Prod45%
SCOPED TO PROD
↓ DROP 31%
Production31%
PRODUCTION
↓ DROP 61%
Material ROI12%
MATERIAL ROI
88% of agent pilots fail to graduate. Gartner: >40% of agentic AI projects will be cancelled by 2027.

TOP BLOCKERS // % CITING

Evaluation gaps64%
Governance friction57%
Reliability51%
Cost overruns42%
Identity / auth for agents38%
Data prep & lineage36%

MCP ADOPTION // GAUGE

78%
ENT. TEAMS
SDK DL/MO
97M+
SERVERS
200+
GH STARS
81K+
CUSTOM SVR
41%

AGENT LEADERBOARD

Salesforce Agentforce
$1.4B combined ARR. 18,500 customers, 9,500 paid deals.
$1400M ARR
Sierra
$950M round at $15.8B.
$15.8B val
Decagon
AI-native CX agents.
$1.5B val
11x
Digital workers, GTM.
$350M val
Devin (Cognition)
Autonomous SWE agent.
$4.0B val

PROTOCOL STACK // EMERGING STANDARDS

  1. L1
    Anthropic MCP
    Tool & context · 78% ent. teams; LF-donated
  2. L2
    Google A2A
    Agent-to-agent · Standardising hand-offs
  3. L3
    OpenAI ACP
    Agent comms · Workspace Agents launch
  4. L4
    AP2 (Agent Payments)
    Commerce · Visa-aligned
  5. L5
    Visa TAP
    Trusted Agent Pay · Settlement layer
SOURCES: GARTNER · IDC · MENLO · MCKINSEY · BCG · BAIN · SACRA · STANFORD HAI · IEA · OECD
DOC ID GAI-26-05 · COPY 001 OF 001
UNCLASSIFIED // OSINT // ANALYST EYES ONLY