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HORIZON2026
HORIZON // 2026Capex projected at +18% YoY · revenue at +75% YoY · power interpolated 2026→2030.

CAPEX // SOURCES → BUCKETS → OUTCOME

Microsoft $130BAlphabet $110BAmazon $165BMeta $125BOracle $50BxAI / SpaceX $35BSovereign + Other $110BNVIDIA / Custom Silicon $280BDatacenter Construction $235BPower & Grid $95BNetwork & Storage $65BTalent & R&D $50BDirect AI Revenue $51BCapex / Revenue Gap $674BSOURCESBUCKETSOUTCOME

CAPEX vs REVENUE

RATIO · 2026
14.2×
$725B in / $51B direct AI revenue
CAPEX '26
$725B
DIRECT REV
$51B

Goldman calls it "elongation". Gap closes as revenue catches up by 2030.

POWER // GW BY REGION

projected 2026 · global 102 GW
Interpolated 2026 (103 GW) → 2030 (~200 GW). Power = binding constraint.

DATACENTER REGISTRY // GLOBAL SITES

SITEOPERATORCAPACITYREGIONSTATUS
Stargate UAEG42 / OpenAI / Oracle1 GWUAEfirst 200MW LIVE 2026
Memphis ColossusxAI1.5 GW (Apr '26)US-TNONLINE
Cassava AI FactoryCassava + NVIDIA12,000 GPUsAfricaDEPLOYING
HUMAIN — Project TranscendencePIF / Aramco$100B programKSABUILDING
Querétaro HubAWS / Microsoft / CloudHQ65% MX capacityMexicoEXPANDING
Mistral Paris DCMistral13,800 H/B-classFranceBUILDING
Sea Compass Max v3.5Sea Group245B modelSingaporeTRAINING
Israel National SupercomputerNebius~4,000 BlackwellIsraelONLINE
SOURCES: GARTNER · IDC · MENLO · MCKINSEY · BCG · BAIN · SACRA · STANFORD HAI · IEA · OECD
DOC ID GAI-26-05 · COPY 001 OF 001
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